TRANSPORTATION DEMAND FORECASTING

 

ITM 2008

PRESENTATIONS

 

 

INNOVATIONS IN TRAVEL MODELING 2008

PORTLAND, OREGON

JUNE 22 - JUNE 24

 

Jointly sponsored by the Transportation Research Board, Federal Highway Administration, Federal Transit Administration, Oregon Department of Transportation, Portland Metro, and Portland State University.  This conference built on the highly successful ITM06 conference in Austin, examining innovative and promising advances in travel modeling, with an emphasis on moving state-of-the-art research into practice.

The program can be found here. The conference included sessions addressing the following themes:

 

 


ACTIVITY-BASED MODELING TUTORIAL

 


Activity-Based Models
 


Jen Malm, DRCOG


Why Make the Changes? What are the Benefits?
 


Chuck Purvis, MTC


Transitioning: Trip-based to Tour-based Models
 


Richard Walker, Metro


How Will ARC Make the Transition from its 4-Step Trip-Based Model to Activity-Based Modeling?
 


Guy Roussseau, ARC


Comparing 4-Step and Activity-Based Models
 


Billy Charlton, SFCTA


What Do Comparisons of 4-Step and ABTMModelsTell Us?: Examples from Sacramento
 


Gordon Garry, SACOG


Taking Models Out of the Box: Prospects for expanding the scope of travel demand microsimulation
 


Mark Bradley


CLIMATE CHANGE & TRAVEL MODELING TUTORIAL
 

 


An Introduction to Climate Modeling, or tell me again How do urban travel models fit in? How do urban travel models fit in?
 


Deb Niemeier, UC Davis


Introduction to EPA’s MOVES Model
 


Jeff Houk, FHWA Resource Center


Application of MOVES to Travel Demand Models
 


Balaji Yelchuru, AECOM Consult


Adapting Travel Models and Urban Models to Forecast Greenhouse Gases in California
 


Robert A. Johnston, Mike McCoy, Nathaniel Roth, UC Davis


Travel Model Improvements For Climate Change
 


Maren Outwater, Kelly McGourty, and Larry Blain, PSRC
 


PLENARY SESSION
 

 


So much to do-so little done? So much to do-so little time?
 


Keith Lawton


COMMUNICATING FORECASTS 1
 

 


Communicating Simulation Results
 


David Roden, AECOM Consult


The Expression of Travel Model Information:  Gauging Presentations and Exhibits to Audiences
 


Christopher Primus,
Jacobs Carter Burgess Inc.


Communicating Complex Models: A Few of the Lessons Learned from the California Statewide Model for High-Speed Rail
 


Elizabeth Sall, SFCTA


Communicating Forecasts in the Transit New Starts Process
 


Ken Cervenka, FTA


PRICING AND POLICY 1
 

 


Travel Demand Modeling Needs for Road Pricing Challenges and Opportunities
 


Jeff Buxbaum, Cambridge Systematics


Modeling Manhattan Area Congestion Pricing within the Framework of an Activity--Based Model Model
 


Robert Donnelly, PB


Modeling Response to Congestion Pricing in Tel Aviv: A Tour-Based Approach
 


Yoram Shiftan and Issa Zananiri, Technion, Israel Institute of Technology
 


ACTIVITY-BASED MODELS 1
 

 


From Longitudinal Data to Microsimulation: the mobiTopp Concept
 


Tobias Kuhnimhof, IfV, Universität Karlsruhe
 


Switzerland in a box: An agent-based model of travel demand and traffic flow
 


KW Axhausen and M Balmer,
IVT, ETH Zurich
 


“Westumfahrung Zurich”: Real World Study with MATSimy
 


Michael Balmer, IVT, ETH Zurich


Agent-based simulation of travel demand: A technology with high potential for business decisions
 


Roman Oberli, Mappuls, AG


PRICING AND POLICY 2
 

 


Using Toll Revenue Forecasts for Highway Investment Decisions
 


Cherian George, Fitch Ratings
 


The Toll Revenue ForecastingChallenge: Advances & Lessons Learned from The Port Authority of New York and New Jersey
 


Mark Muriello, PANYNJ
 


Using Toll Revenue Forecasts for Highway Investment Decisions
 


Winnie Shi, KPMG
 


ACTIVITY-BASED MODELS 2
 

 


Part I: Albatross:overview of the model ongoing work and research agenda
 


Harry Timmermans,
Eindhoven University of Technology
 


Part II Albatross: applications and experiences
 


Theo Arentze,
Eindhoven University of Technology
 


CEMDAP: A Second Generation Activity-Based Travel Modeling System for Metropolitan AreasMetropolitan Areas
 


Chandra Bhat and Travis Waller,
UT Austin
 


Road to ABM at NCTCOG
 


Arash Mirzaei, NCTCOG
 


LINKING DYNAMIC NETWORK &
TRAVEL MODELS 1

 

 


Integrating Activity-Travel Decisions in Dynamic Network Micro-Assignment Models
 


Hani Mahmassani,
Northwestern University
 


Modeling and Simulation of a Morning Reaction to an Evening Toll
 


Marcel Rieser, TU Berlin
 


Applications of Dynamic Traffic Assignment in Twin Cities Area
 


Steve Wilson, SRF Consulting
 


LINKING DYNAMIC NETWORK &
TRAVEL MODELS 2

 

 


Dynamic Choices in Coordinated Household Activity-Travel Systems
 


John Gliebe, Portland State University
 


Linking activity-based travel demand models and traffic assignment: A Flemish case study
 


Katrien Ramaekers, Tom Bellemans, Hasselt University
 


Integrating an Activity Based Model with a DTA model – the TRANSIMS Portland Application
 


Hayssam Sbayti, AECOM Consult
 


COMMUNICATING FORECASTS 2
 

 


Gone in Sixty Seconds: Communicating Benefits to Survey Respondents
 


Stacey Bricka, NuStats
 


Guiding Scenario Exploration Through Forecast Model Interface Design
 


Catherine Emond, UC Davis
 


Wiki Software for Intra-Agency Communication and Data Management
 


Christopher M. Puchalsky, Ph.D.
 


ACTIVITY-BASED MODELS 3
 

 


TASHA: An activity based model with an application in emissions
 


Matthew J. Roorda,
University of Toronto
 


Integrated, Dynamic Activity-Network Simulator: Current State and Future Directions of PCATS-DEBNetS
 


Ryuichi Kitamuray,
Kyoto University
 


The Day Activity Schedule Approach of Bowman, Ben-Akiva and Bradley: 1994-2008
 


John L Bowman
 


TRESIS: An Integrated Land Use-Transport-Environment Model from Australia
 


Peter Stopher,
Institute of Transport and Logistics Studies, The University of Sydney
 


PRICING AND POLICY 3
 

 


Towards a Post-Processor-Based HOT Lane Mode Shift Model
 


Laura B. McWethy,
Cambridge Systematics
 


Modeling a Road Pricing Experiment
 


Larry Blain, PSRC
 


Enhancement and Application of an Activity-Based Travel Model for Congestion Pricing
 


Greg Erhardt, PB